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20121101
20121130
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, polls close early, 13 electoral votes, 48/47, president obama on top. state of florida, two-point lead for president obama. the state of ohio, most people have seen as the hinge point of this election, president obama's up 51/45. let's look at where the battleground states stand. if you average polls taken on the real clear politics website, of the nine battle ground states romney is only leading in the average of those polls in the two of them, north carolina and florida. the other states, president obama's got a lead. i'm talking about iowa, colorado, new hampshire, ohio, nevada, all states where president obama's doing very well. at least as competitive with romney. if mitt romney wins the states in his base, plus the two where he's leading, he only gets to 235 electoral votes, he needs many more to get elected. president obama would have many more, 303. so what mitt romney's got to do is figure a way to take some of those states away from the president. virginia, florida, ohio, colorado, iowa. that's where the election's going to be decided. mitt romney easily got a hill to climb t
. >> we're waiting on florida right now florida is still too close to call. this of course is one of the t hotly contested states. florida too close to call. the polls are closed in florida. onto illinois where obama has taken illinois. as you can see there illinois is going to the president. maine also going to the president tonight. nbc news projecting president obama is the winner of maine. onto maryland where we are also seeing president obama take maryland. and that of course ten electoral votes. >> interesting. the state of massachusetts governor romney's home of course as governor at least being called for barack obama. also home to a very high profile senate race between senator scott brown and elizabeth warren of harvard. the woman who set up consumer protection bureau. mississippi is called for mitt romney. six electoral votes there and the state of missouri too early to call. >> new hampshire, we have been waiting on another hotly contested state. too close to call in new hampshire so far. this is four electoral votes and one of the hotly contested states new hampshir
legion and get to 270 electoral votes? give mitt romney florida, virginia, north carolina, colorado. his shortest path is to win those states. he would win a majority of the nine swing states and that gets him to 275, 263 for barack obama. he also needs for that scenario to win the state of ohio. tyler mentioned the cleveland airport today. what -- now, let's go back to this map again, put the swing states again in yellow and say, what is barack obama's shortest path? he just needs to win three of the nine swing states, those three, wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, ohio, the state we have just been talking about and also nevada, big harry reid's home state, the senate leader, big union vote, big hispanic vote there. if he gets those three things, barack obama gets to 271 electoral votes and wins, tyler. >> but not any three of those nine states? >> specifically those three. >> specifically those three. say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >>
, virginia, florida, colorado, too close to call. the senate, mostly breaking as expe expected, but the democrats did pick up three new seats. republicans projected to hold the house as well. >> all right. let's get straight to john harwood at the maproom to give us more color on what we're seeing as the most recent poll closings. over to you, john. >> we're almost completely closing the map of coloring in the map of all the states we knew in advance where they were going to faull. the only state where polls have not closed yet is the state of alaska. we're very confident mitt romney is going to win that based on polls before the election. so we're really waiting for those seven battleground states that haven't been filled in yet. again, to reiterate, as we've talked about before, if president obama wins the state of florida this race is over. he's going to be re-elected for a second term. but if mitt romney wins it, he's got to also win north carolina, he's got to win virginia, where it's very close, and he's got to win the state of ohio, which is really a big one hanging out
about florida with 29 electoral votes, and north carolina with 15. you add those together to the base states that mitt romney has. that only makes 235 electoral votes. president obama with 303. that doesn't mean mitt romney cannot win. he's very close in some other states. in colorado, for example, in new hampshire, he -- but he's going to have to make up a lot of ground in a lot of places to get there and the last swing state polls we showed showed six. point lead in ohio. two-point lead for the president in florida. one-point lead in virginia. big hill for mitt romney to claim clitomorrow night. >>> let's go to the finance.yahoo.com poll. the aftermath from sandy. do you think the pace of the recovery will help or hurt either candidate? go to vote at finance.yahoo.com. josh, do you think at this point the voters especially in our north carolina of the woods will use this storm as an issue as they cast their ballots or not? >> it is certainly going to be a matter of consequence but the real important question here is turnout. how many voters are actually going to come out. what we've
in florida. >> caller: boo-yah, jim. >> boo-yah, joey. >> caller: you think it could be a large percentage of companies like annies? >> i'd rather go with haynes. they slammed him the other day. i saw irwin simon on "fast money" and i thought he told god good stories. best of breed is haynes celestial. or mond in connecticut. >> caller: how are you. want to look at the fresh market earnings. the stock got hammered. i was wondering if it's over with or stay away from the stock completely? >> what do we got to be in the second-best? i like this, nice looking stores. don't get me wrong. if nice looking stores all that mattered i'd be a bye bye-byer. but we got whole foods and unbelievable players who run whole foods. why do we have to figure out to play whole foods fresh market? the way to play whole foods is whole foods. >> let's go to janet in the home state of new jersey. >> jim, boo-yah to you. i'm learning so much from you and your show. how i can help? >> caller: i was watching your show yesterday about private label goods and i just want to know, could private label grow or hurt or hel
and it will develop across the south. of course, florida is the big deal here. you can see with our developing storm off the carolina coast we're expecting showers. and thunderstorms over florida. plus we may even see a little bit more rain than what we have here across southern virginia, north carolina, especially later on in the day. this is going to make a fast transition up the east coast, as we get in towards wednesday. temperatures won't be incredibly cold in the south. as a matter of fact, 50s, 60s, 70s, whether you're in the rain or not will be even slate. here's the timing on wednesday, getting into more of the storm because really tuesday's issues are going to be virginia and florida in terms of how the weather's going to impact. but florida, of course, will be out of that on wednesday. but virginia, you'll be in this. parts of new jersey. notice here, we will bring all this rain, all the way up into new england as well. and this will be heavy wind-swept rain. those areas trying to get power back on may have to deal with rain. one of the new things we're looking at here with these models i
later in the program. >> ohio, colorado, florida, those are the three, i think. >> i bet a lot of global investors are googling the u.s. state map this morning. >>> there is a plan known as the fiscal cliff and automatically triggered $600 billion of tax hikes and spending cuts which would send the u.s. into a recession. >> in this animation, eamon javers has explained the fiscal cliff and gives a couple scenarios for avoiding it. >> the u.s. is barreling towards the fiscal cliff, that's when come on on 2013, mandatory budget cuts and tax increases kick into reduce the deficit by $560 billion. the map drawn by congress leads to automatic cuts next year of $27 billion each in defense and nondefense spending and another $12 billion in cuts to medicare. but here's what lowers the deficit most. higher taxes. all the bush tax cuts go away and a 2% payroll tax comes back. all this coming at once would put the economy in a recession. congress and the president could still take an off-ramp and avoid the cliff, but that would mean tough compromises to raise taxes or lower spending. the other alte
margins in florida, virginia, colorado and ohio. >> governor romney has been having a tough time here in ohio because everybody knows he was against saving the auto industry. you don't scare people just to scare up some votes. >> i can't wait for us to get started. he's hoping we'll settle. americans don't settle. we build, we aspire, we dream, we listen to that voice that says we can do better. >> john harwood will join us with more. and then we'll focus on pot ticks with jack welch. romney campaign adviser senator rob portman and roger altman. so obviously a full lineup to get through all of this. andrew and joe, back over to you. >> let's check on the markets this morning. futures are indicated lower. as i've been pointing out for a while, there is a labor day indicator that jim stack and others have pointed to. and 25 out of 28 times, if the dow jones industrial average was below where it was the friday before labor day, the incumbent loses. and that number 13, 091 and the dow closed at 13,093. so two points above. >> do you think it was sandy? >> i don't know what it was. turned
projected off to the northeast of minneapolis. we'll take you a little bit further south, of course florida one of our swing states. and getting messier by the minute across sections of north florida and you can clearly see that that rainfall will make impacts for many of you across sections of the southeast including georgia and into the carolinas. some showery weather also for those of you in the northwest. in terms of tracking the storm system, the nor'easter that we've been talking about, this has clearly been on everyone's mind and we know how important it is to folks who want to get the latest details. once that storm system which is bringing the rain that we just showed you across the southeast begins to lift upward, we are anticipating those impacts to begin wednesday into thursday. and then thursday into thursday night, we will see some wet and wintry weather continuing, but the latest model runs are trending the system a little bit further offshore. back to you. >> thanks, danielle. it is now a sprint to the white house this morning. investors are waiting for a level of uncertaint
decisive. florida remains a toss-up. clearly not going to make a difference to the overall outcome. 270, that was the number to reesm we knew once we started to get the results from ohio, that it was going in barack obama's way decisively. yes, 303 to barack obama 206 to mitt romney. >> but the race for the white house wasn't the only major contest as control of congress was also up for grabs. the democrats held on to the senate picking up two additional seats in massachusetts, where elizabeth warren beat the incumbent scott brown. in indiana, congressman joe donnelly beat the controversial richard mourdock. congress remains divides republicans maintain their control over the house of representatives. romney's running mate paul ryan won his re-election campaign for his house seat. >> joining us for more analysis is ron freeman. ron, good morning. >> good morning, kelly. >> ron, what's your initial reaction here to the outcome? what's the biggest impact this is going to have on policy? >> i think the biggest impact it will have on policy is we have a president we know well. we know what
and maybe florida depends on the poll. i urge everyone to go out and vote in new jersey. very difficult. largest polling place in our town closed. no power. people have to recognize that the adversity of a lot of people trying to vote today shows you that democracy is trying to be at work. not as easy as you thought. >> i have always said voting is messy. we do it better than just about anybody else. >> north korea has the 99%. everybody seems to turn out. >> regardless of whether the lights or off or not. >> another call today from deutsche bank saying that there's a rally if obama wins and a rally if romney wins going into year end. depends if you look at 1450 or 1500. >> some have said there's a bond market rally for one and stock market rally for other. bond market for obama. easy money so to speak continuing. one of the key questions people come back to is it possible if romney wins and replace him prior to that in some fashion. what we can expect. we'll sit here tomorrow and know who the president is. you talk about uncertainty. that would be a blow if we sit here tomorrow and don
a lot of that fema smending. th spending. then into florida where there's a lot of social security spending. same think along the gulf coast. zoom in on one louisiana county in here, there's a u.s. penitentiary there. a lot of federal spending. up through here, farm subsidies, drought relief. all kinds of things. out in arizona, retirees and other -- all the way up there in the state of washington. i understand we've got somebody coming from that state, a big naval base. that's going to show up big and make it red. what the pew center on the states did, they divided it up, said what federal spending is a% of gdp. maryland, virginia, district of columbia comes up the highest. fairly evenly split between defense and non-defense cuts. hawaii 16%. the bulk is defense spending. you come down here to alabama where there is a lot of defense spending as well. colorado and georgia would round out the top ten list. another way to look at impact of federal cuts is not just spending but what about jobs. some surprising states show up. texas is a red state but they have a lot of federal jobs as
slightly. we're seeing close races in virginia, florida, and of course wisconsin where the president is going to be today when he resumes campaigning. so it's close, but the president certainly has a slight edge in these important swing states that both candidates need to win to get to 270. >> how hard has the last few days been for romney with the president inspecting storm damage, how tough is his job? >> its eye certainly a challenge. you have somebody in the president who is the commander in chief. if you're mitt romney, you want to be a part of the conversation somehow. he spent tuesday participating in storm relief efforts, taking time away from the campaign trail, but it's certainly difficult to stay in the conversation the way he wants to. with obama back on the campaign trail, romney in virginia, but certainly the last three days, it's been a challenge for romney to stay in the conversation with obama and to show that he can be just as much of a commander in chief than the president. >> how do you think the jobs number on friday plays in to the poll on tuesday? >>per late in
to just $1,000. along the eastern seaboard that's a lot of fema. fema will take an 8% hit. in florida, a lot of social security spending. up here you have the risk management association -- sorry, agency, from department of agriculture. crop subsidy and drought relief comes through here. education, public assistance. the whole spectrum, pretty much, are subject to 8% cuts. let's take a look by state when we look at the total count here. this is from the pew research center. we find maryland, virginia, d.c., 20%. that's evenly split between the green, nondefense, and the blue, which is defense spending. hawaii, 16%. almost all of it is defense spending. places like kentucky and alabama. a lot of this is defense spending. a lot of these, by the way, are red states and they'll get hit. incentive for them to come to the table. one more way to look at this is federal jobs. this is by state. a red state, texas, a lot of federal jobs. a blue state, california, a lot of federal jobs. california is a state with high unemployment rate, over 10%. you can see there, virginia as well. texas with a
-47. look at the state of florida. one that mitt romney is counting on as a lynchpin of the base. 29 electoral votes. president obama up among likely voters 49-47. in ohio, the state most look at as the potential tipping point. president obama has a six-point lead. he's gone hard on the auto bailout and hitting mitt romney. that's a point of contention. because ohio has been such a tough nut for the romney campaign to crack, that's a reason they are making a late play into pennsylvania. it depends on turnout organization, especially the composition of the electorate. what portion of white voters versus hispanics. definitely a lower level of intensity and young people. barack obama dominates among young people. mitt romney among seniors who are more motivated to vote. how much will that carry the day? we'll find out tomorrow. >> if you're looking for an early tell tomorrow, if you could only look at one state early on, virginia. if it's decisive either way does that suggest the rest of the night collapses in that direction? >> almost in any of the battleground states other than ohio w
couldn't resupply fast enough. >> john, i'm told that did not pass in south florida. it was proposed but didn't pass and the total cost per gas station is $8,000 to $10,000 for the prewiring and the generator. seems like they would have made that over the last couple of weekends, if they had had it. anyway, to not worry about losing the power when you don't have it is the only thing i can -- like this last storm it's like hey, neighborhood doesn't have power anyway. you can't do anything to us at this point. john hofmeister, appreciate it. thanks. >>> coming up, policy decisions from the bank of england and the european central bank, two important announcements from europe that are still ahead this morning. bob, these projections... they're... optimistic. productivity up, costs down, time to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory systems... ups? ups. not fantasy? who would have thought? i did. we did, bob. we did. got it. impact wool exports from new zealand, textile product
Search Results 0 to 16 of about 17